Demographic Keynote Speaker Futurist Gen
Demographic Keynote Speaker Futurist Generational Marketing
CHINA ECONOMY TO CRASH AND BURN
[This guest column is compiled by Ken Gronbach, a past PEMA meeting speaker. Mr. Gronbach views are presented as his and the only.]
I recall my first PEMA presentation a year . 5 ago in Florida. Someone raised his hand and said visit Beijing all the time, looks fine to me. It was
an honest statement. But trust me Beijing isn't fine. China cannot recover from what it really has been doing to itself demographically using its
Child Only Policy What exactly does this mean to PEMA members? In the event you bail from China now? No, make money as you can but don make long term
capital commitments. Lease, rent and keep both eyes open because the Chinese house of cards will crash and burn.
Many details in the following paragraphs are chilling,http://www.vansaustraliaonlinestore.com/, however, you have to be aware of them. China economy is directly determined by its
demography. China has tampered with its demography to its own detriment.
I simply stared at the photo of the idle young Chinese men. It bothered me. I had been missing something. How could there be $ 30 million more Chinese
men than women. Sonograms are illegal in China. How did the parents know they were males? The answer is simple. They determined they were males once
they were born. And if these were baby girls, well, these were disposed of. The baby girls were not aborted, they were killed as infants. Infanticide.
I don't have any spot to file these details during my brain and apparantly the rest of the world doesn't either, because nobody talks about it. Let's
pretend it doesn't happen.
China approved press was volunteering the fact that there have been 30,000,vans skate shoes,000 young Chinese men of marrying age that may not find wives. The main reason given was the pervasive Child
Only Policy enforced through the Chinese high command for the last thirty one years. Males were obviously favored by Chinese parents under this rule
because they were more prone to care for the parents within their old age based on Chinese tradition. Using a girl baby was misfortune because she was
likely to eventually marry and care for her husband parents.
China social security is family. There isn't any formal state sponsored financial back-up for the elderly. A typical symbol for a folks are a pyramid.
At the top you have a couple, and then you possess a many children. Below them you possess an even larger quantity of grandchildren and finally a
level larger quantity of great grandchildren. Though this triangle may not always be played in modern culture it's been the corner stone of societies
through-out the years. Using their Child Only Policy China has inverted the family pyramid. They call it Two, One Four grandparents are at the top,isabel marant boots, then two parents and lastly one child. The kid will have no brothers, sisters, aunts, uncles, nieces or
nephews, no family. Being elderly without family in China is going to be very hard.
The thought of China rising towards the position of the dominant economic world power and influencing world-wide public policy is frightening. From my
perspective they have no moral compass. Recently i heard President Obama expressing the desire to achieve the United States re-establish itself as if
we'd fallen in some way and turned the baton to China. We haven plus they are not even close. The United States GDP is all about $15 trillion. China
GDP is about $5 trillion. Germany is about $4 trillion and Japan is about $3 trillion. There exists a bigger GDP than our nearest three competitors
combined. Exactly what do we need to re-establish? China produces but cannot consume because their vast 800,000,000 employees is not paid in a level
that facilitates consumption. In order for china GDP to improve america will have to consume more. Also it is unlikely that China will get in touch
with their loans to the United States any time soon because we're their best customer. They require us.
China officially boasts of preventing 400,000,000 live births in the last thirty-one years with its Child Only Policy. In the short term it is really
an economic accelerant because China hasn't needed to feed, clothe,isabel marant online, educate or house the equivalent population of the United States and Mexico combined. In addition this
afforded them substantial recognition at the Third International Conference on Climate and Water in Helsinki in 2007 for significantly reducing their
carbon footprint. However from a fiscal perspective they have also significantly reduced their quantity of potential consumers, wage earners and
tax-payers by 400,000,000. The full weight of this population reduction will play out over the next twenty to thirty years. Demographers worldwide
believe the results will be economically catastrophic.
China has other issues albeit not as horrific because the Child Only Policy Their currency should be allowed to fluctuate based on world market and
also the pressure is on from many quarters including the Usa. As it stands now the worth of the Yuan is artificially suppressed by the Chinese
government. They just keep printing much more of it to keep the value down. If you want to see the net outcomes of this just go shop at Wal-Mart. When
the Yuan was permitted to fluctuate as other world currencies it would double in value and everything in Wal-Mart would double in price. The Yuan
increases in value. It's really a few time. This is bad news for China and Wal-Mart.
Shipping costs are rising with the price of oil. China produces lots of stuff but doesn consume much simply because they don pay their workers at
Western levels. Shipping is crucial to them since it is imperative to obtain cheap goods to their consumers within the Eu and in america. As the cost
of shipping increases same goes with the buying price of their goods. Low price may be the single biggest advantage the Chinese producers have to give
you. The Chinese will not go quietly. Watch out for these phones pull quality out of many in an effort to preserve margins. Let hope they don capture
an excessive amount of our food market before this really sets in or else you can be sure they're going to have no reservations about poisoning us. If
you feel I'm being too harsh during my forecasts, think again. The proof will be in the pudding. Sorry.
By 2016,toms outlet, the huge 800,vans shoes outlet,000,vans outlet,000 Chinese work force will begin shrinking. Less labor means higher wages. The Chinese are already experiencing
labor shortages in isolated areas. Whenever you compete for labor the employer market disappears and the employee market emerges. This should be fun
to watch. China is extremely used to abusing their labor. Workers have been expendable for decades. That over. Labor costs should spike and tensions
will increase. The price of Chinese made goods increases and their desirability will decrease. The paper tiger will start to unravel.
China has polluted its water in the rush to economic prominence. So China has an acute shortage of potable water as well as an acute shortage of
women. Russia has both. Russia ought to be concerned.
America has 5 percent of the world population but we produce 25 percent of the world economy. Good to listen to about your positive outlook for
America though. About the Chinese immigration point, the only places they might get immigrant workers from would have to be a place with increased
depressed wages. Where? Afganistan? African Nations?I had an issue. Someone else brought it up too. About the Y Generation, how will they be such a
huge buying force if unemployment in that group nears 50%?Anyway thanks again!
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